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BTC, ETH, DOGE: Crypto Falls After Fed Turns Hawkish on Rates

Cryptocurrencies such as Bitcoin ($BTC), Ethereum ($ETH) and Dogecoin ($DOGE) are sliding lower on June 19 after the U.S. Federal Reserve signaled that interest rates are likely to rise in this year’s second half.

Bitcoin, the largest cryptocurrency by market capitalization, is trading at $63,000, down from $65,000 at the start of the week. Analysts blame the decline on the U.S. Federal Reserve striking a hawkish tone on interest rates.

On June 17, the U.S. central bank indicated that it expects to raise interest rates by 25 basis points in this year’s second half. That news effectively ended the recovery in cryptocurrencies and sent them lower. Risk assets such as crypto tend to perform best when interest rates move lower rather than higher.

Fed Watch

Over its past four consecutive meetings, the U.S. Federal Reserve has kept interest rates unchanged and maintained the Fed Funds Rate in a range of 3.50% to 3.75%. However, the Fed has now taken a hawkish turn, removing language around an easing bias and indicating that rates are likely to move higher.

News of higher interest rates comes as investor sentiment towards digital assets remains fragile. While some market observers say that Bitcoin likely bottomed earlier in June when it fell just below $60,000, others are more cautious. Bearish analysts continue to say that there are few near-term catalysts on the horizon for Bitcoin and other digital assets.

BTC’s Three-Month Performance

Not enough analysts cover Bitcoin, so we’ll look instead at its three-month performance. As one can see in the chart below, Bitcoin’s price has declined 9% in the past 12 weeks.

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Joel Baglole has been a financial journalist for 25 years, covering topics that include stocks, bonds, derivatives and cryptocurrencies. From 1999 to 2004, he was a staff reporter at The Wall Street Journal where he covered economics, financial markets, investment banks, and deals such as mergers and acquisitions (M&A) and initial public offerings (IPOs). Mr. Baglole has written about equities and financial markets directly from the floor of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE). More recently, he has covered technology issues focused on Nasdaq-listed companies for business websites such as Investopedia and The Motley Fool. He holds a journalism degree from Carleton University in his native Canada. Mr. Baglole's hobbies include kayaking and downhill skiing.