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Sibanye-Stillwater Stock: Golden Opportunity with Robust Fundamentals

Sibanye-Stillwater (SBSW) is a South African precious metals mining company.

Apart from being the world’s largest producer of platinum, the mining house is a prominent player in other metals such as gold, rhodium, and palladium.

It also produces by-products including chrome, nickel, copper, iridium, and uranium. I am bullish on the stock. (See SBSW stock charts on TipRanks)

Half-Year Earnings

There’s much optimism surrounding the company after its half-year earnings release lived up to expectations. Higher production and price increases for certain metals caused a significant improvement from December’s results.

According to Sibanye’s report, it produced revenue of $6.18 billion (an 87.3% increase year-over-year), and an earnings per share of $0.58, which is in line with previous estimates. Furthermore, adjusted EBITDA grew to $2.79 billion, from $990 million a year ago, with a dividend of $0.77 per ADR.

Value Drivers

A key driver behind Sibanye’s success has been its increased investment in brownfield projects as opposed to greenfields over the past 10 years. This has resulted in a better return on invested capital overall.

Short-term factors influencing the H1 period results were predominantly surging rhodium prices, and operational efficiency increases of the company’s South African Platinum Groups Metals (PGM) and Gold operations.

Dividends

A previous dividend yield of 6.19% has been increased to 10%, which is on the very high end of the scale. Due to its robust financial performance, the company will likely continue increasing its payout ratio for the foreseeable future.

This comes after the company announced in June that it would buy back up to 5% of its shares on the market. Value-seeking investors should take note.

Wall Street’s Take

Sibanye comes in as a Moderate Buy, with two Buy ratings assigned in the past three months. The average SBSW price target of $25 implies 62.2% upside to current trading levels.

Takeaway

Higher commodity prices, ramped-up output, and improved operational efficiency have resulted in an undervalued asset.

The stock is bound to experience significant short-term upside based on fundamental attributes, and Wall Street agrees. 

Finally, there’s a strong probability that dividend payouts will continue increasing based on key metrics.

Disclosure: On the date of publication, Steve Gray Booyens had no position in any of the companies discussed in this article.

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Steve Gray Booyens
Steve Booyens writes analysis articles about stocks and finance for TipRanks. He co-founded Pearl Gray Equity and Research in 2020 and has been responsible for institutional equity research and PR ever since. Before founding the firm, Steve spent time working in various finance roles in London and South Africa. He holds an MSc in Investment Banking from Queen Mary – University of London. Currently, Steve is working towards his Ph.D. in Finance, in which he's attempting to challenge the renowned Fama-French 4-factor pricing model by incorporating ESG factors. Furthermore, Steve spends much of his time advising investors on emerging market risk, factor investing, portfolio diversification, and asset class construction. Collectively, Steve's knowledge provides a blend of high-level financial theory and practical investment ideas.