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Trip.com Posts Tepid 4Q Results; Shares Rise On China Recovery

Trip.com Group Ltd. reported weaker-than-expected results for the fourth quarter. However, shares of the China-based online travel and related services provider were up 4.4% in Thursday’s pre-market trading due to a strong recovery trend in China.

Trip.com (TCOM) reported 4Q adjusted earnings of $0.27 per ADS [American Depository Share], much higher than analysts’ estimates of $0.04. However, it is lower than the year-ago earnings per ADS of $0.28.

Revenues of $761 million came in below the Street’s estimates of $768.9 million and declined 40% year-over-year due to the negative impact of the COVID-19 pandemic. Revenues were down 9% from the third quarter. Management blamed seasonality for the decline.

The company said that its domestic business witnessed a strong recovery as the spread of the COVID-19 virus was curbed in China.

Notably, China’s domestic air ticketing business as well as domestic hotel GMV [gross merchandise volume] showed positive year-over-year growth in 4Q. Furthermore, mid-to-high-end domestic hotel reservations witnessed double-digit year-over-year growth in 4Q. (See Trip.com stock analysis on TipRanks).

Following the results, Oppenheimer analyst Jed Kelly raised the stock’s price target to $45 (13% upside potential) from $38, “on travel entering a sharp multi-year recovery that we expect to begin this spring.” Kelly maintained a Buy rating and said, “We see TCOM poised to lead China’s recovery and believe it can become a larger player in APAC [Asia Pacific] given the company’s abilities to maintain its scale relative to smaller regional players.”

Overall, the rest of the Street has a bullish outlook on the stock with a Strong Buy consensus rating based on 6 Buys and 1 Hold. The average analyst price target of $45.10 implies upside potential of about 13% to current levels. Shares have gained about 31% over the past year.

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Amit Singh
Amit Singh jumped into the world of stock analysis and investing after completing his Post Graduate Diploma in Finance in 2009. Before joining TipRanks in 2020, he worked as an equity research analyst for eight years. With a keen eye for identifying strategic investment opportunities, his work entails evaluating stocks, building financial models, writing company-specific research reports, and identifying the overall financial worth of companies in the consumer staples and technology sectors. In 2017, Amit found a way to combine his expertise in evaluating companies with his passion for writing. He has also worked with the financial research firm Market Realist.